FractalNet-Based Heterogeneous Federated Learning for Orbital Edge Intelligence in Satellite Mega-Constellations: A Wildfire Case Study

arXiv:2609.00875v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Satellite mega-constellations are emerging as large-scale sensing, communication, and computation fabrics, yet their learning architectures remain largely inherited from terrestrial federated learning and ground-centric mission operations--- ill-suited to satellites that differ by orders of magnitude in Size, Weight, Power, and Cost (SWAP-C), radiation tolerance, link availability, and propagation delay.

We propose a heterogeneous federated learning method based on the FractalNet architecture for orbital edge intelligence. We formalize contact-window-constrained, depth-heterogeneous federated optimization and introduce a distributed path scheduler that assigns model depth as a function of SWAP-C constraints, predicted inter-satellite contacts, and training statistics.

To reduce message overhead and energy consumption, each tier pools updates periodically rather than at every contact opportunity, and a three-tier agentic control plane governs in-space scheduling, anomaly escalation, and policy-governed autonomy.

As a case study, we apply the framework to wildfire detection, where each orbital shell naturally learns a different semantic level of situational awareness: pixel-scale thermal anomalies at low Earth orbit (LEO), regional fire-front dynamics at medium Earth orbit (MEO), and larger-scale risk propagation at geostationary or high Earth orbit (GEO/HEO).

Experiments on simulated mega-constellations validate the approach across convergence, communication efficiency, energy adaptation, scheduled-pooling savings, robustness, and latency.