Tropical Storm Nolo tracker: Map and projected storm path

Nolo is the 14th named storm of the hurricane season in the central Pacific.

Nolo is the 14th named storm of the hurricane season in the central Pacific. Tropical Storm Nolo has formed on a path that will pass over Hawaii’s largest island before shifting westward back into the Pacific.

It is expected to rapidly strengthen into a Category 3 hurricane early Saturday just as it reaches the island. It is forecast to bring 15 to 20 inches of rain across the Big Island potentially causing life-threatening flooding and mudslides, and hurricane-strength winds.

How a hurricane forms and strengthens Only when tropical cyclones in the ocean encounter the right ingredients for long enough do they strengthen to the point of designation. Meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center pay close attention to a cyclone’s wind speed, which determines its class.

Once it reaches 39 mph for at least one minute, it’s classified as a tropical storm and given a name; at 74 mph, the storm becomes a Category 1 hurricane, and continues through Category 5. These classifications help officials predict the possible risks and damage and send warnings of what to expect from the strong winds, waves, rains and floods when they hit land.

It’s dangerous to be caught in tropical storm-force winds. Stronger hurricane-force winds can destroy homes and buildings and send debris flying. The winds can also push seawater inland for miles, causing an abnormal rise in seawater levels, known as storm surge — the leading cause of death during a hurricane in the United States, according to the National Weather Service.

Large waves are also a risk to people and property. As a storm moves further inland, flooding becomes a major risk. Cyclones often produce more than six inches of heavy rain, which can overwhelm drainage systems and the ability of the ground to absorb the water, causing flash floods.

Flooding may persist for days after a storm. Hurricane season in the central Pacific runs from June 1 to November 30. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts five to 13 tropical storms this year, above the typical four to five.

N. Kirkpatrick contributed to this report.